Development and validation of simulation-based stress test for resilience assessment in manufacturing companies
CHALLENGE
For several years, European manufacturing has faced continuous vulnerability by external disruptions, ranging from global supply chain shocks and geopolitical crises to pandemics, natural disasters, and increased energy prices. These
disruptions threaten production continuity, financial stability, and long-term competitiveness. Existing resilience assessment methods on the manufacturing shop floor remain fragmented, generic, and largely retrospective. They provide
limited predictive capacity and fail to anticipate the severity of potential upcoming disruptions. This leaves both manufacturers and financing institutions without robust tools for assessing the coming periods resilience dynamics
in manufacturing shop floors that guide planning of resources and strategic investments.
FOCUS ON INDUSTRIES
The RESISTTE project addresses this critical gap by pioneering a simulation-based stress test tool for shop floor resilience assessment under realistic disruption scenarios. It adapts methodologies from the European Banking Authority
stress-testing framework for banks and integrates them with advanced computational simulation and Large Language Model (LLM)-based disruption scenario prediction. By adapting stress-test concepts from financial systems to industrial
production, RESISTTE aims to create a widely applicable, scalable, and context-aware tool to evaluate how shop floors withstand and recover from disruptions.
OBJECTIVE
The overall objective is to design, implement, and validate a resilience assessment stress test for manufacturing shop floors. The tool will simulate base manufacturing processes, incorporate various types of disruption effects, and
evaluate both performance loss dynamics and recovery times. Its predictive capability will be powered by contextualized LLMs trained to generate realistic disruption scenarios based on geographical, sectoral, and socio-political
contexts. Beyond its immediate utility for shop floor managers by helping to identify areas where resilience needs to be strengthened and investments focused, the tool will also be valuable for banks and investors, enabling them
to incorporate resilience as a measurable factor in financing decisions.
nEWS
ISM 2025 conference
The RESISTTE project team proudly participated in the ISM 2025 — International Conference …
more in Linkedin profile
We are pleased to share that additional information about RESISTTE project activities …
Project resistte kick off
In September 2025, Dr. Tanel Aruväli joined the Department of Industrial & Maufacturing …
publications
Publications in preparation …
Our Team
Dr. Tanel Aruväli
Researcher
Prof. Emmanuel Francalanza
Main supervisor
Dr. Daniel Gravino
Co-supervisor
University of Malta, Msida MSD 2080, Malta
tanel.aruvali@um.edu.mt
https://www.linkedin.com/in/tanel-aruvali/
